• billwashere@lemmy.world
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    7 days ago

    Then it didn’t make 13 billion…… and it didn’t lose 21 billion.

    It lost 8 billion. That’s how math works.

    • percent@infosec.pub
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      7 days ago

      You’re not wrong, but neither is the title. That’s just how business accounting works. Ultimately, it’s still the same conclusion ($8 billion loss)

  • abc@suppo.fi
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    6 days ago

    That’s a weird way of saying that they had a net loss of $8 billion. Are you trying to imply that this is somehow extraordinary for a growth company?

  • tatterdemalion@programming.dev
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    7 days ago

    What’s their op ex though? I feel like there must be a sizable portion of that which isn’t actually necessary to keep the service up.

    • megopie@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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      7 days ago

      So the the operating expense was greater than their revenue from operations by about 2, but it seems like they’re minimizing it by hiding the cost of some of the compute inside marketing and training costs. This is something that a few AI companies in China have been caught doing to make it seem like they’re doing better than they are. So they could be incinerating money at an even faster rate than they just admitted.

        • megopie@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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          6 days ago

          Yah, given that “training models” doesn’t stop when the model is finished and released. Like, a released model needs to be continuously tweaked to keep it up to date or to deal with problems that have occurred. Even if that’s not literally tokens used by customers, it is compute being used to provide service to customers.

          And that’s just assuming that they’re not just hiding some compute costs used to service customer demand inside the R&D budget. “Oh, you see, this pool of customers are being served with an experimental version, so any compute here is actually R&D, any API fees or subscription payments made by them of course get counted towards normal revenue.”

  • ironycanal@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    6 days ago

    A lot of people are gonna give openaishit over this, but the old cliché is true; gotta spend money to lose money.

    At a personal scale you can just light a few bills on fire, and you’re good. Maybe even gamble away a home or something if you’re filthy rich.

    But at this scale that just doesn’t work. Burning this amount of money takes infrastructure, trucks, roads, labor, and facilities. Otherwise the poor’s might take some of it.

    Can you imagine what those people would spend this kind of money on?

    • MintyAnt@lemmy.world
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      7 days ago

      You are not actually considering the scale of 20 billion dollars nor the jump in a single year. Those are bad things.

      The actual economics behind LLMs shows us they cannot become profitable ever, and this “invest more before becoming profitable” story does not fit in part because of that. Other companies who used that model had a way to become profitable.

    • frunch@lemmy.world
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      8 days ago

      Sometimes you have to spend more than you make but that doesn’t mean it’s a bad idea! You just have to continue spending and one day it’ll maybe start turning a profit. Maybe not, though! 🙂 I love AI

      • ILikeBoobies@lemmy.ca
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        7 days ago

        They’re being facetious but it’s actually what AI investors are thinking. AI can lose money until it’s the only AI company left then they can charge whatever they want.

        I had an AI engineer tell me that hallucinations are actually AI having original thoughts. Zzzzz

        • potustheplant@feddit.nl
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          7 days ago

          Wtf, these folk s are clinically insane. It’d be funny if they weren’t literally fucking over the entire world in the process.

  • HugeNerd@lemmy.ca
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    7 days ago

    Bah that’s baby numbers compared to what “private space” will accomplish!

  • 404found@lemmy.zip
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    8 days ago

    Clear Channel aka Iheartradio (the media conglomerate) went a whole decade consistently losing money before they finally made a profit. If we follow that timeline then OpenAI has 9 more years to hemorrhage money before they start to see a return of investment.

    • potustheplant@feddit.nl
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      8 days ago

      Except that, over those 10+ years, iheartradio accumulated less than half of the debt that OpenAI already has.

      • FauxLiving@lemmy.world
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        8 days ago

        Both of these companies are an example of a new kind of capitalist trick where they simply take advantage of the fact that they can use an infinite amount of money to invade a market and make it completely unprofitable for any competition by losing money for years.

        They can then acquire all of these companies’ market share and then squeeze everyone with their new monopoly powers.

        It’s blatant market manipulation that any country with a functioning government would have regulated out of existence.

        • potustheplant@feddit.nl
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          7 days ago

          This is another incorrect take. OpenAI is not the only one hemorraging money. All of these LLM companies are offering a heavily subsidized product. Once the money runs out, which it will, the bubble wil pop or deflate. It’s not a matter of “if”, just “when”. It’s simply not an economically viable product. My guess is that the only reason they’re doing this, is because they’re hoping for some wild technological breakthrough that will massively lower costs.

          • FauxLiving@lemmy.world
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            7 days ago

            An incorrect take?

            This isn’t a business strategy unique to tech companies, it’s used across multiple different industries.

            Source: work in finance.

            • potustheplant@feddit.nl
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              7 days ago

              Yes, an incorrect take.

              While the strategy is not new, the scale and speed is. Also, there wasn’t an existing market that they’re trying to capture (as opposed to services like Amazon or Uber).

              The entire industry is doing the same thing and they’re all losing. It’s a race to the bottom and that is most certainly new (and stupid).

              Not to mention that the cost of the unsubsidized product is insane. Hence, it’s not an economically viable product.

              • FauxLiving@lemmy.world
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                7 days ago

                So, you’re saying it’s a new kind of capitalist trick where they lose money by subsidizing the product in order to make it completely unprofitable for all of the other companies?

                I have it on good authority that this is an incorrect take.

                • potustheplant@feddit.nl
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                  7 days ago

                  Nope. They subsidize the product so that people are more willing to pay, and they’re betting that they have deeper pockets than the competition (hence, a race to the bottom). Once they can no longer subsidize the product, the idea is that you’re so addicted to it (or you’ve integrated it so much to your product) that you’ll pay the full price.

                  Except that no one will, because they’re already increasing prices and people and companies are waking up to the fact the cost does not outweigh the benefits.

      • masterspace@lemmy.ca
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        7 days ago

        Talking total debt is somewhat meaningless.

        The important number is the ratio between their loss and their revenue.

        i.e. the convenience store down the street could operate at a loss before turning profitable, and accumulate far less than half the debt of iHeartRadio, but that doesn’t mean the convenience store is the better long term investment. When it turns a profit, it’s potential profit is far smaller than iHeartRadio’s was.

        • potustheplant@feddit.nl
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          7 days ago

          Don’t know about iheartradio but OpenAI’s 3:1 ratio for 2026 does not bode well. That’s without considering therir future operational commitments, which are quite high.

    • Badabinski@kbin.earth
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      8 days ago

      OpenAI has a trillion dollars in financial obligations they need to meet by 2030. I doubt Clear Channel’s financial obligations were in the same order of magnitude.