Epstein Scar | New LEGO Video from IRAN
This stuff is happening on other parts of the internet, and I think it is highly effective to engage a younger generation, and actually attempts to take over the narrative rather than the reactionary kneejerk journalism (and reposting here on Lemmy) of the “hE SaId WhAt?” brigade.
Video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m0E9-eArkTI
So? We’re not talking about taking over the US, we’re talking about taking over the Democratic Party. It has been slower than the Tea Party’s meteoric rise (mostly a result of not being backed by billionaires) but DSA candidates are steadily winning primaries against establishment Dems and going on to win elections as well. The Tea Party started the same way, winning primaries and winning elections. The comparison is still useful for understanding what might happen in the future. It’s slower, but similar.
slow-and-steady vs move-fast-and-break-things
I expect them to win a decent chunk of their elections in the upcoming midterms and then just continue growing after that.
Ten years and its membership is a rounding error.
That’s not a movement.
The movement certainly stalled while Biden was president - opposition movements don’t grow when their party is in power - but now things are moving again because Democrats are out of power. Mamdani just defeated the Democratic establishment and went on to get elected, that takes a movement.
Notably, close to half of the DSA’s growth since the recent lows came from the Mamdani election campaign. Expect them to pick up more positions in the midterms, and more membership as people join because of their election campaigns.
I can’t read that map because dark mode and transparent background makes the text black on black but if your point is that Biden was popular enough that socialists didn’t move away from the DNC then we might finally agree on something.
Here’s where I grabbed it from. Note that it’s from January, DSA membership has grown more since then.
My point is that opposition movements in the US only grow when they’re in opposition to the president. Biden didn’t have to be popular to cause the DSA to shrink, all he had to do was be the president. The DSA is still a Democratic Party organization, it won’t try to splinter the Democrats away from the acting president. They weren’t in opposition to Biden, so they shrank.
Now they’re in opposition again, so they’re growing. The question is if they can grow enough in the next few years to get someone on the presidential ballot, because if they can they’ll be able to do to the Democrats what MAGA did to the Republicans.
Wow if it continues at that rate of 40,000 per year in the year 3158 it will surpass the DNC’s 45,400,000 members.
Does that chart look linear to you?
That’s not how movements work. They advance and retreat in response to conditions, you can’t just project a straight line from their growth over 14 months and expect it to have any predictive power. Before Mamdani’s election they were growing at a rate of roughly 2,800 members a month. One month after electing Mamdani they’d added another 8,000 members to reach that 100,000 milestone, blowing the previous rate out of the water.
Also, notably, over a million people voted for Mamdani. People don’t have to be DSA members to support them.
Maybe after a year of Trump the 100,000 people who joined was all of them.
We’ll see in the midterms, won’t we? If you’re right, the DSA won’t grow much more by the end of the year.
If I’m right, the midterms will see DSA membership sharply increase in response to DSA candidates winning elections.