• NuanceDemon@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      1 day ago

      You’re forgetting that usage can still go up while token cost goes down.

      Or rather, efficiency and usage can increase at the same time.

      • wholookshere@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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        1 day ago

        The reason I dont believe you, is software efficenies are WAY cheaper than a data centre. If they could devlope existing infrastructure to hold the increase of usage like that, then they wouldn’t expand hardware.

        • NuanceDemon@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          1 day ago

          You’re just repeating the same point I’ve just addressed, so I’ll explain in more detail.

          Data centres expanding is perfectly compatible with huge efficiency gains per token. If the cost of inference falls, companies can afford to run vastly more inference, serve more users, use larger models and embed AI into more products.

          It’s the same reason more fuel-efficient cars didn’t eliminate demand for roads or petrol. Efficiency lowers the cost of using something, which can increase total consumption.

          So “if software got more efficient, they wouldn’t need more data centres” is basically backwards. The relevant question is whether total AI demand is growing faster than efficiency is improving.

            • NuanceDemon@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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              1 day ago

              No.

              ?

              When you lock onto something really hard in a discussion like this it becomes very obvious you’re faltering and dont really have much to contribute.

              • wholookshere@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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                1 day ago

                Ypu claimed up above a 900x increase in token efficiency, and claim that demand is outpacing efficiencies.

                So yes you are.

                I’m calling bullshit on demand outpacing efficiencies in general.

                  • wholookshere@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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                    1 day ago

                    You made the claim it is.

                    Its based on every company I know pulling back on token spend because it keeps getting more expensive.

                    Based on the fact the the growth they anticipate is everyone will use it everywhere. And thats not going to be true any time soon.

                    Based on the fact queries cost more and more tokens on the new models.

        • NuanceDemon@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          1 day ago

          You can find token energy efficiency information studies online, I was smashed when I pulled that figure out of my arse but the numbers are similarly huge.

          They’re already orders of magnitude more energy efficient than we predicted just a few years ago and both the software and the hardware continue to accelerate that.