we’re not running out of money, no no
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Y5SpNLoRsY&list=UU9rJrMVgcXTfa8xuMnbhAEA - video
https://pivottoai.libsyn.com/20260914-ai-slowdown-the-only-ai-guardrails-you-need-are-trump-apparently - podcast
time: 7 min 55 sec
I mentioned this in the thread but Bernie Sanders, Steve Bannon and Jacob Coxon have all teamed up to make Anti-AI legislation, plus more people are turning against Trump and AI (like Mamdani)
Amodei: I just don’t see how it’s a stable solution to never build the technology. What we need to do is not stop. We need to slow down.
Of course you don’t, because it gives you fat stacks of cash
Gotta hand it to the writers of this season of America. I didn’t expect the Sanders turns into a Strasserite twist.
In September 2024, OpenAI had posted a graph showing their new o1 Strawberry model needed exponentially more training for small linear improvements — even on their own pet benchmarks.
Which iirc was also predicted by actual scientists before (I don’t not have an actual paper however).
There you go. Trump can do this job too.
Why do we even need AI? Just ask Trump.
Machine learning training has always presented as a power law, with exponential increases in processing required for linear increases in performance. The Chinchilla scaling laws paper and efficient compute frontier papers let them select the optimal tradeoff between number of parameters and how long to cook it, improving performance greatly by letting you predict how to best use X amount of computation for Y amount of time, setting off people spending hundreds of millions of dollars since they actually knew they could use it optimally, directly leading to the perceived massive increase in performance from 2022-2024ish as they had a one-time burst of knowing how to optimally partition computation and convince people to spend lots of money at once. Everything since that time has been exponentially diminishing returns as expected.
I hate it when my college niche internet morbid fascination becomes an oval office power struggle. Effective altruists are being called out from administration accounts by name and the president is still ranting.
