I’m talking about the future. So why are w talking about how much green hydrogen is produced today. We are talking about 50+ years in the future. The infrastrucuture is being build today.
Do you think there is no wind during winter?
You can check here how much renewables we (germany) currently make during winter and this is without having build batterie storage.
Yes in germany there are battery research factorys being build, which is important if you wanna produce them yourself? There also factorys to build batteries.
I feel like you don’t understand that nuclear plants make finacially zero sense. It is very stupid to invest into nuclear plants. It’s a waste of money and a waste of time.
I feel like I’m talking to a brick because you don’t understand that part.
Renewables and batteries are a growing market and we should invest there.
You do some random math materials, show me some research that says we can’t build enough batteries for the energy transition. I don’t need some AI math.
Wait, so first NPP’s are too slow to build at 7-10
years and now suddenly we are talking about 50+ years into the future?
We need a plan for now and the next decade just as much as 50+ years. Droughts and heat waves are giving all of Europe a beating this summer and it’s only going to get worse, while energy demand goes up.
Do you think there is no wind during winter?
Yes. There will be so many days and especially nights with little to no wind come winter. Did you see the capacity factor of 35% ? Do you get what it means? If you don’t, feel free to ask. Again, please read what is written or we will be here a very long. This is really getting a bit frustrating now.
I feel like you don’t understand that nuclear plants make finacially zero sense.
Who needs finance if there is literally no other option? You’re not talking to the brick. You are it.
Batteries don’t come out of thin air. PV cells don’t either.
You don’t even understand the basic math about energy density that I laid out for you like you’re in kindergarten and you want to tell me I don’t understand stuff? Remember that? Where you needed 800 of your German mines to match one single NPP? Please puzzle that together and think about where you’re going to get all that lithium, cobalt and other stuff from, process, transport and place 5 million kilograms of battery for every single kilogram of uranium.
I feel like Germans (I’m assuming) can’t handle the fact that they made the wrong decision to dump nuclear and are now doubling down on why it was the best decision ever.
So, again, no magic hydrogen farts this time and no 50 year sci fi time jumps.
What’s your plan to keep us powered on quiet winter nights after an overcast day in the decade to come?
Yes because NPP take too long to build, what do you don’t understand about that? How many nuclear reactors can we build now and will be finished fully in 50 years? How much will it cost? How expensive will be the electricity?
Yes there will be a few weeks/days during winter which will need gas plants. Do you understand that this is not anlong time during the year? Maybe 2 weeks in a year? Maybe 4 weeks? And it will be need less and less. This is really frustrating because you think we would need to fire gas 6 Months long.
NPP also don’t appear out of thin air. At least PV and batterys are build very fast.
Just tell me where you read that we will have problems with lithium cobalt and all the stuff. Please. Nobody is worrying about it as much as you do.
Yes germany. Yes it would have been better to keep the old NPP running longer until we are done with coal.
BUT starting to build NOW some reactors would be the most dumbest thing we could do. It would be such a waste of money. Better to invest the money into renewable tech.
If you have some NPP running, keep them. But don’t build new ones.
Nuclear power is much cheaper than Germany’s gas-backed renewables mix. You really don’t have a clue do you? You’re just making assumptions as they suit you best.
Yes there will be a few weeks/days during winter which will need gas plants. Do you understand that this is not anlong time during the year? Maybe 2 weeks in a year?
Ok, do the napkin math with me again, because you can’t seem to do it…
As you know, solar power will be greatly reduced in the winter. At a capacity factor of 25%, let’s say 15% of that is generated in summer, 4% in spring and fall each and 2% in winter (and the rest is no power at all, like night or overcast days).
Wind has a capacity factor of 35%, let’s assume it’s similar throughout the year.
So then in the most optimistic scenario you have power for ~37% of winter, if sun shines when there is no wind and can take over (unrealistic but I’m helping you).
So at leaves us ~63% of winter. At 90 days of winter gas plants will be running for:
90*0,63=56,7full days
In just winter….
And then we haven’t even covered spring or fall….
At least PV and batterys are build very fast.
PV cells still don’t cover winter. It’s a false equivalence.
Just tell me where you read that we will have problems with lithium cobalt and all the stuff. Please. Nobody is worrying about it as much as you do.
Did you read the part where I showed you we needed 800 entire German mines worth of lithium to get the energy equivalent of one NPP? The resources being in the ground isn’t so much the issue, the getting it out is. What’s your plan for that, magic again?
Also:
Nickel, lithium, cobalt, and graphite reserves risk 100% depletion with significant consumption of known resources. Furthermore, over 700 new critical mineral mines will need to be developed to meet the required production rates for decarbonisation by 2050. Demand for critical minerals will out-pace mine development timelines even as improvements are made to battery energy density and compositions.
starting to build NOW some reactors would be the most dumbest thing we could do.
The best time was 20 years ago. The second best time is now.
Renewables still don’t get you through winter, no matter how much you try. Your plan entails running gas plants for a significant portion of the year for decades to come while we hope for some tech that we don’t have, don’t have the resources for, can’t mine the resources for or can’t produce.
Could you please, for the love of god stop arguing in bad faith and actually try to do some of the math behind your claims?
I’m talking about the future. So why are w talking about how much green hydrogen is produced today. We are talking about 50+ years in the future. The infrastrucuture is being build today.
Do you think there is no wind during winter?
You can check here how much renewables we (germany) currently make during winter and this is without having build batterie storage.
https://energy-charts.info/charts/energy_pie/chart.htm?l=en&c=DE&week=01
Yes in germany there are battery research factorys being build, which is important if you wanna produce them yourself? There also factorys to build batteries.
I feel like you don’t understand that nuclear plants make finacially zero sense. It is very stupid to invest into nuclear plants. It’s a waste of money and a waste of time.
I feel like I’m talking to a brick because you don’t understand that part.
Renewables and batteries are a growing market and we should invest there.
You do some random math materials, show me some research that says we can’t build enough batteries for the energy transition. I don’t need some AI math.
I think we will not agree to each other.
Wait, so first NPP’s are too slow to build at 7-10 years and now suddenly we are talking about 50+ years into the future?
We need a plan for now and the next decade just as much as 50+ years. Droughts and heat waves are giving all of Europe a beating this summer and it’s only going to get worse, while energy demand goes up.
Yes. There will be so many days and especially nights with little to no wind come winter. Did you see the capacity factor of 35% ? Do you get what it means? If you don’t, feel free to ask. Again, please read what is written or we will be here a very long. This is really getting a bit frustrating now.
Who needs finance if there is literally no other option? You’re not talking to the brick. You are it.
Batteries don’t come out of thin air. PV cells don’t either.
You don’t even understand the basic math about energy density that I laid out for you like you’re in kindergarten and you want to tell me I don’t understand stuff? Remember that? Where you needed 800 of your German mines to match one single NPP? Please puzzle that together and think about where you’re going to get all that lithium, cobalt and other stuff from, process, transport and place 5 million kilograms of battery for every single kilogram of uranium.
I feel like Germans (I’m assuming) can’t handle the fact that they made the wrong decision to dump nuclear and are now doubling down on why it was the best decision ever.
So, again, no magic hydrogen farts this time and no 50 year sci fi time jumps. What’s your plan to keep us powered on quiet winter nights after an overcast day in the decade to come?
Yes because NPP take too long to build, what do you don’t understand about that? How many nuclear reactors can we build now and will be finished fully in 50 years? How much will it cost? How expensive will be the electricity?
Yes there will be a few weeks/days during winter which will need gas plants. Do you understand that this is not anlong time during the year? Maybe 2 weeks in a year? Maybe 4 weeks? And it will be need less and less. This is really frustrating because you think we would need to fire gas 6 Months long.
NPP also don’t appear out of thin air. At least PV and batterys are build very fast.
Just tell me where you read that we will have problems with lithium cobalt and all the stuff. Please. Nobody is worrying about it as much as you do.
Yes germany. Yes it would have been better to keep the old NPP running longer until we are done with coal.
BUT starting to build NOW some reactors would be the most dumbest thing we could do. It would be such a waste of money. Better to invest the money into renewable tech.
If you have some NPP running, keep them. But don’t build new ones.
Maybe the problem is not me not understanding, but you not making any sense.
Like a whole lot lol.
Also a lot, but you haven’t shown any alternative that actually works. Nor are they cheap either.
About as expensive as it is in France right now.
https://euenergy.live/articles/average-electricity-bill-europe
Nuclear power is much cheaper than Germany’s gas-backed renewables mix. You really don’t have a clue do you? You’re just making assumptions as they suit you best.
Ok, do the napkin math with me again, because you can’t seem to do it…
As you know, solar power will be greatly reduced in the winter. At a capacity factor of 25%, let’s say 15% of that is generated in summer, 4% in spring and fall each and 2% in winter (and the rest is no power at all, like night or overcast days). Wind has a capacity factor of 35%, let’s assume it’s similar throughout the year.
So then in the most optimistic scenario you have power for ~37% of winter, if sun shines when there is no wind and can take over (unrealistic but I’m helping you).
So at leaves us ~63% of winter. At 90 days of winter gas plants will be running for:
90 * 0,63 = 56,7 full daysIn just winter….
And then we haven’t even covered spring or fall….
PV cells still don’t cover winter. It’s a false equivalence.
Did you read the part where I showed you we needed 800 entire German mines worth of lithium to get the energy equivalent of one NPP? The resources being in the ground isn’t so much the issue, the getting it out is. What’s your plan for that, magic again?
Also:
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s42461-024-01070-7
The best time was 20 years ago. The second best time is now.
Renewables still don’t get you through winter, no matter how much you try. Your plan entails running gas plants for a significant portion of the year for decades to come while we hope for some tech that we don’t have, don’t have the resources for, can’t mine the resources for or can’t produce.
Could you please, for the love of god stop arguing in bad faith and actually try to do some of the math behind your claims?